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Playoff – Finals – Game 6
Tuesday, June 18, 2013 – 09:00 PM ET
(ET is USA East Coast Time)
MIAMI HEAT vs SAN ANTONIO SPURS
San Antonio Leads Series 3-2
Miami need a win to go on with the series. All the bookmakers see Miami as clear favorite in this match. The question is: are the Heat strong enough to beat the handicap of 7.5 points?
San Antonio are my favourite here. I back them, but only stake 2, as I have already lost enough money with these playoff.
My bookmaker odds
Heat (-7.5) @ 1.88
Spurs (+7.5) @ 1.88
What my bookmaker thinks: the Zig Zag theory is great: Heat lost last game, so now they are set to win.
What I think: the Zig Zag theory is old and not useful anymore. I back San Antonio.
San Antonio Spurs (+7.5) @ 1.88
Miami – S. Antonio 103-100 + 1.76
Good news: I open (anc close) CW 25 with a win.
My June bets
N° Proofed Tips: 6
Results (W-D-L): 2-0-4
Staked: 45.00 units
Won : 16.92 units
Profit: -28.08 units
What a bad Saturday night for me, whith Acea Roma winning by 7 points with 4 minutes left, and then losing by 8 points while I had Roma (+7.5). That’s incredible! Anyway, life goes on and now we have to check what’s happening all around the world.
The NBA San Antonio leads the series 3-2 againt Miami. Next match is scheduled for Tuesday night.
In ITALIAN SERIE A Siena leads the series 2-1. Next match is scheduled for tonight in Siena.
In GERMAN BUNDESLIGA Brose Baskets won the title. Well done, Brose!
See you in the next days for my betting tips.
ITALIAN SERIE A
Playoff – Finals – Game 3
Saturday, June 15, 2013 – 08: 15 PM CET
(CET is Central Europe Time)
PalaEstra, Siena, Italy
SIENA vs ACEA ROMA
Siena and Roma Ties Series 1-1
Siena won game 1, but then lost game 2. It’s a final series without a lord yet. Anyway please remember, that I am very bad in my playoff bets (while I am good with regular season bets), so don’t follow my tips until I improve my performance.
Roma is strong enough to win every match, but I am not so sure they can win in Siena. Anyway, this time my lazy Italian bookmaker help me as it sees a 7.5 handicap for Siena. So, backing Roma I will win the bet even if they lose with less than 8 points. I back Roma.
My bookmaker odds
Siena (-7.5) 1.93
Roma (+7.5) 1.82
What my bookmaker thinks: Siena has now a big chance as the green & white team plays at home. It’s true that Roma won in Siena in regular season, but now Siena is tronger than some months ago, when the players were tired because of Euroleague games.
What bet4win thinks: Italian website bet4win.it see a Siena win and they suggest to bet Siena @ 1.30. I don’t agree, also because I think it’s better to place a bet with handicap, as everyone is used to do in the USA.
What I think: I am really disappointed because of my latest results. So I thought to change something in my way of managing my bankroll. Not big changes, but some little changes. I’ll talk about these things next week. Meanwhile, let’s hope to see a good Acea at PalaEstra Saturday night.
Roma (+7.5) @ 1.82
Siena – Roma 89-81
Unluck bet, unluck month.
My June bets
N° Proofed Tips: 5
Results (W-D-L): 1-0-4
Staked: 43.00 units
Won : 13.16 units
Profit: -29.84 units
the blog of Angélique Jamail, Author
Opinioni non richieste su basket e dintorni. Di Luca Maghini
Euroleague analytics, for the basketball geeks